I love Groundhog Day and I know it’s silly to some, but we do know that the Groundhog really exists (unlike some of our favorites) and like any good forecaster, Punxsutawney Phil takes great pride in telling us all what the future will bring. In case you forgot, if Phil sees his shadow then obviously it’s a sunny, clear day and we get six more weeks of winter. If Phil doesn’t see his shadow, look for an early spring.
What you might not know is this all started around the Christian holiday, Candlemas, which is February 2nd. They even had a saying regarding the weather and Candlemas:
If Candlemas be fair and bright,
Come, Winter, have another flight;
If Candlemas brings clouds and rain,
Go Winter, and come not again.
This poem became the norm in Europe, the Germans worked a Hedgehog into it for forecasting, and the Americans went with a groundhog and since 1886 that groundhog has been Punxsutawney Phil! He never dies, by the way, and you can read all about him at his website right here.
Will Phil See His Shadow?
Not likely. You’ve probably already heard about the Nor’easter dumping tons of snow on the New England area. Tomorrow morning, that system will be hanging around and Pennsylvania will be cloudy and snowy:
No shadow seen will mean an early spring. And the eastern US could use one as they are getting blasted by winter now and will see freezing temperatures spilling in from Canada this weekend. Here’s the American Model.
What Does That Mean for Us?
We’re a little early in the game for this one, but the models have continued to shunt the really cold air a week from now off to the east, thanks to the location of that big High Pressure to our northeast:
Here is a still picture of the model forecast for next Monday morning showing a low of 31° to the northeast of Houston, but freezing all the way down to Northern Florida. In town, we’re forecasting 38°. Look at those numbing numbers in the East!
Regardless of whether Phil’s forecast proves true or snuffs out like a Candlemas candle, the spirit of the day is frivolous fun. I hope you find a way to enjoy it and I hope Phil is right! I like an early spring!
Frank
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February 02, 2021 at 02:40AM
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