The leaves have barely started turning red and orange, and brutal blasts of Arctic air are still months away from hitting New Jersey. But some forecasters have already issued their predictions for the winter season of 2020-2021, including those from AccuWeather — one of the biggest private weather forecasting companies in the world.
AccuWeather is calling for an “early-season chill” in the northeastern region of the United States, followed by milder temperatures and fewer opportunities for snow once the calendar turns to January and February.
Overall, AccuWeather says the New Jersey region — which had a downright dud of a winter last year, with hardly any snow — will likely get far more snow than last year but total accumulations will be 25% to 50% less than we normally get.
Although the company doesn’t give specific numbers for Garden State locations, its winter forecast for two major cities to our east and west are as follows:
- New York City is forecast to get blanketed by 18 to 23 inches of snow this winter, which is 3 to 8 inches lower than its seasonal average of 26.1 inches.
- Philadelphia is projected to get 10 to 15 inches of snow this winter, which is about 7 to 12 inches lower than its seasonal average of 22.6 inches.
AccuWeather's snow forecast for the winter season of 2020-2021.AccuWeather
Why such little snow this winter? AccuWeather forecasters say the polar vortex — bands of frigid Arctic air swirling around the North Pole — is expected to remain “locked in place” for much of the winter.
If that happens, the northern and eastern United States would get fewer blasts of Arctic air, and longer stretches of milder than normal temperatures.
Farmers' Almanac winter outlook
Although many meteorologists and climatologists don’t put much trust in seasonal forecasts that are issued by the Farmers' Almanac and its rival publication, the Old Farmer’s Almanac, those outlooks tend to generate a lot of buzz on social media.
And they are fun to look at. So here they are.
Here’s what the Farmers' Almanac predicts:
In short, the Farmers' Almanac is calling for the New Jersey region to be “seasonably cold, wet and white” this winter.
“Remember last year’s almost snow-free winter in the Northeast? Well, this year our prediction is very different, with the possibility of a blizzard hitting the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast states during the second week of February,” the Farmers' Almanac says.
“This storm may bring up to 1-2 feet of snow to cities from Washington, D.C. to Boston, Massachusetts,” the Almanac adds.
Here's what the Farmers' Almanac is predicting for the winter of 2020-2021.Farmers' Almanac
Here’s what the Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts:
“For the United States, we predict that recent warming trends will dominate in the eastern and northern parts of the United States in the coming winter, with below-normal average temperatures limited to the western portion of the nation.”
In terms of precipitation, “snowfall will be greater than normal in the Northeast, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan, the High Plains and northern Alaska, and below normal in most other areas that receive snow.”
Here's what the Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting for the winter of 2020-2021.Old Farmer's Almanac
Who will be right? Only time will tell.
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Len Melisurgo may be reached at LMelisurgo@njadvancemedia.com.
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October 04, 2020 at 06:30PM
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